whitebus
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A Canadian perspective:
McCain is going to win... sorry all you dreamers out there.
Americans are very conservative and American conservatives believe in top-down leadership. A change at the top, is a change of administration. All Republicans, even Republicans who are unhappy with Bush Jr, will still vote McCain. Democrats who are unhappy with Obama (and may have been happier with Clinton II) will also vote McCain. Thus is the nature of a two party system.
There has been a Republican president for 20 of the last 28 years, so another Republican president should not be a shock to anybody. Those other 8 years were Bill Clinton. IMHO it was a mistake to pick Obama over Clinton as the democratic nominee.
Obama did give Americans a chance to make history with the first black president, but McCain cleverly countered by giving americans the chance to elect the historic first woman vice-president and he's old enough that woman could very likely be president as well. When it comes to demographics, women trumps blacks. It's not racism, it's just numbers.
Not that it's not going to be close... Bush Jr. only won the first time by a few dangling chads. Even Clinton only won vs Bush Sr. with 43% of the popular vote and can thank Ross Perot for that victory. This year's race, with no incumbent, should be a closer match to the Carter vs Ford race that had a 50-48 split.
McCain is going to win... sorry all you dreamers out there.
Americans are very conservative and American conservatives believe in top-down leadership. A change at the top, is a change of administration. All Republicans, even Republicans who are unhappy with Bush Jr, will still vote McCain. Democrats who are unhappy with Obama (and may have been happier with Clinton II) will also vote McCain. Thus is the nature of a two party system.
There has been a Republican president for 20 of the last 28 years, so another Republican president should not be a shock to anybody. Those other 8 years were Bill Clinton. IMHO it was a mistake to pick Obama over Clinton as the democratic nominee.
Obama did give Americans a chance to make history with the first black president, but McCain cleverly countered by giving americans the chance to elect the historic first woman vice-president and he's old enough that woman could very likely be president as well. When it comes to demographics, women trumps blacks. It's not racism, it's just numbers.
Not that it's not going to be close... Bush Jr. only won the first time by a few dangling chads. Even Clinton only won vs Bush Sr. with 43% of the popular vote and can thank Ross Perot for that victory. This year's race, with no incumbent, should be a closer match to the Carter vs Ford race that had a 50-48 split.